The world's youngest country, South Sudan, is teetering on the edge of a devastating civil war as rival groups led by President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar escalate their power struggle. The situation has deteriorated to the point where the United States has begun evacuating non-essential personnel, and the United Nations has issued warnings about the country's stability.
The power-sharing agreement between Kiir and Machar is on the verge of collapse, raising fears of a renewed civil war and leading to violent clashes. The crisis has its roots in Sudan's prolonged civil wars, which spanned from 1955 to 1972 and 1983 to 2005. A power struggle between Kiir and Machar, former allies who became rivals, led to a full-scale civil war in 2013.
The 2018 Revitalized Peace Agreement brought a measure of stability, but delays in implementation and persistent political rivalries have maintained underlying tensions. As of 2024, South Sudan faces a humanitarian crisis, with nearly 9 million people in need of aid and worsening food shortages. The country is also on the brink of war due to delayed elections, militia clashes, and ongoing tensions between rival factions.
The situation escalated earlier in March when the White Army, a group believed to be allied with First Vice President Riek Machar, seized a military base in Nasir County, Upper Nile state. In response, South Sudanese soldiers surrounded Machar's home in Juba and arrested several of his allies. The military has also launched aerial strikes on communities in Upper Nile, causing significant casualties, horrific injuries, and displacing an estimated 63,000 people.
The UN official, Nicholas Haysom, head of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS), described the situation in the country as "dire" and warned that disinformation and hate speech were stirring ethnic hatred and provoking increasing violence. Haysom condemned the indiscriminate attacks, highlighting the devastating impact on civilians, especially burns. "Given this grim situation, we are left with no other conclusion but to assess that South Sudan is teetering on the edge of a relapse into civil war," Haysom said.
The underlying issue is the deep-seated mistrust between President Salva Kiir and Machar, who have little faith that the other will uphold the terms of the peace deal. This mistrust threatens to derail the fragile peace and plunge the country into another devastating conflict. The international community is watching the situation closely, and the United States has taken steps to ensure the safety of its personnel in the country.
The crisis in South Sudan has far-reaching implications for the region and the world at large. The country's instability could have a ripple effect on neighboring countries, leading to a broader regional crisis. The international community must take immediate action to prevent a full-scale civil war and support efforts to negotiate a peaceful resolution to the crisis.
In conclusion, the situation in South Sudan is dire, and the world must take notice. The crisis has the potential to escalate into a devastating civil war, with far-reaching consequences for the region and the world. It is imperative that the international community takes immediate action to prevent a full-scale conflict and support efforts to negotiate a peaceful resolution to the crisis.