Libya's central bank has announced a 13.3% devaluation of the dinar, setting a new official exchange rate of 5.5677 to the US dollar, effective immediately. This marks the first official devaluation since 2020, when the rate was 4.48 dinars to the dollar. The move comes amid fiscal strain and power struggles that have disrupted oil production and exports, impacting the currency's value.
The parallel market rate for the dinar is much lower, reaching 7.20 to the dollar. The black market rate has been volatile, particularly since September last year, when a power struggle over control of the central bank disrupted oil production and exports, triggering a drop in the currency's value. The crisis was resolved in September following a U.N.-brokered agreement between rival eastern and western legislative factions, which led to the appointment of a new central bank governor.
In a related move, the speaker of the eastern-based parliament reduced the tax on foreign currency purchases in November, lowering it from 20% to 15%. This tax is added to the rate at which individuals buy foreign currencies from commercial banks. The central bank's decision to devalue the dinar is seen as a response to the country's mounting public debt, which stands at 270 billion dinars, with projections that it could rise above 330 billion by the end of 2025 if a unified national budget isn't agreed upon.
The Libyan government's spending has been a significant contributor to the country's fiscal strain, with combined government spending for 2024 reaching 224 billion dinars (about $46 billion), including 42 billion dinars allocated to crude-for-fuel swap deals. The U.N. has urged the country's political leaders to urgently establish a spending framework for 2025 with clear limits and oversight mechanisms to address the growing debt crisis.
The devaluation of the dinar is expected to have significant implications for the Libyan economy, including higher prices for imported goods and potential inflationary pressures. The move may also impact the country's ability to attract foreign investment and stabilize its economy. As Libya struggles to recover from years of conflict and political instability, the devaluation of its currency serves as a stark reminder of the country's ongoing economic challenges.
Libya's economic woes are not unique to the country, with many African nations facing similar challenges. The devaluation of the dinar serves as a warning to other countries in the region to address their own fiscal strains and implement measures to stabilize their economies. As the global economy continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how Libya and other African nations will navigate the complex landscape of international trade and finance.