Nigeria's headline inflation rate has dropped to 24.48% in January, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), marking a significant decrease from the previous month's rate of 34.80%. The drop is attributed to the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which aims to better reflect changes in consumption patterns.
The NBS announced the rebasing last month, noting that consumption patterns had shifted significantly since the last update, and that 2024 would now serve as the new base year for calculating inflation. The previous inflation release for December reported an annual rate of 34.80%, which was attributed to higher demand for goods and services during the festive season.
However, the larger trend shows that inflation has risen sharply following President Bola Tinubu's decision to remove costly subsidies and devalue the naira. The reforms were implemented to strengthen public finances and stimulate economic growth, but many Nigerians contend that the changes have only pushed more people into poverty, with no significant positive economic turnaround recorded.
Food inflation, which makes up more than 50% of Nigeria's old inflation basket, eased slightly to 39.84% in December, down from 39.93% the previous month. This slight decrease may offer some respite to Nigerians, but the overall economic outlook remains uncertain.
The drop in inflation rate may also have implications for interest rates in the country. With the inflation rate now at 24.48%, there is uncertainty around the future of interest rates, which could have a significant impact on the economy.
Experts warn that the economic reforms implemented by President Tinubu may not have achieved the desired results, and that the country's economic prospects remain uncertain. The removal of subsidies and devaluation of the naira were intended to stimulate economic growth, but many argue that they have only led to increased poverty and hardship for Nigerians.
As Nigeria's economy continues to navigate these challenges, it remains to be seen whether the drop in inflation rate will have a positive impact on the country's economic prospects. One thing is certain, however: the road to economic recovery will be long and uncertain, and Nigerians will be watching closely to see how the government responds to these challenges.