Namibia's Oil Prospects Take a Hit as Shell Writes Down Offshore Discovery

Riley King

Riley King

January 09, 2025 · 3 min read
Namibia's Oil Prospects Take a Hit as Shell Writes Down Offshore Discovery

Namibia's hopes of becoming a major oil producer have suffered a significant setback after Shell announced a $400 million write-down of its offshore oil discovery in the country. The decision marks a major blow to Namibia's ambitions, which have been fueled by several oil explorations by major oil conglomerates in recent years.

The write-down is related to an offshore oil discovery made in 2022 by Shell and its partners QatarEnergy and Namibia's national oil company. Although the discovery had generated significant global interest, Shell has stated that the oil and gas resources discovered in offshore block PEL39 "cannot currently be confirmed for commercial development," according to Reuters.

Shell has drilled nine wells in the Namibian offshore license over the past three years, resulting in multiple discoveries. However, the company has faced significant technical and geological challenges in developing these resources, including lower permeability of the rock in its block, making the extraction of oil and gas more difficult. Additionally, the high natural gas content in the discoveries has added to the complications.

Shell CEO Wael Sawan acknowledged that Namibia's acreage is "very challenging," citing the difficulties faced by the company. The company expects to take an exploration write-off of around $400 million, without providing further details.

Despite this setback, Namibia still holds significant potential as an emerging player in the global energy sector. Chevron is looking to make its discoveries in the country by 2025, and Portuguese oil company Galp recently made a notable discovery in a different offshore license. Total Energies and Shell have identified an estimated 2.6 billion barrels of reserves in Namibia, highlighting the country's potential as a major oil producer.

The development is a significant blow to Namibia's economy, which has been seeking to diversify its revenue streams. The country currently has no oil or gas production, and the news is likely to impact its growth prospects in the short term.

However, the story is not all doom and gloom. Namibia's potential as an oil producer remains significant, and the country's national oil company is likely to continue exploring opportunities to develop its resources. As the global energy landscape continues to evolve, Namibia's oil prospects may yet recover, but for now, the Shell write-down is a significant setback.

In conclusion, the Shell write-down of its offshore oil discovery in Namibia is a major blow to the country's ambitions to become a crude oil producer. While the country still holds significant potential, the technical and geological challenges faced by Shell highlight the difficulties of developing oil resources in the region. As the energy sector continues to evolve, Namibia's oil prospects will be closely watched, and the country's ability to overcome these challenges will be crucial to its growth prospects.

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