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Ghana's economy, which had been struggling in recent months, has finally shown signs of recovery as inflation rates dropped for the second consecutive month. According to the country's statistics office, inflation decreased from 23.8% in December to 23.5% in January year-over-year, marking the first time inflation has decreased in five months.
This economic ease comes on the heels of President John Mahama's re-election, and is seen as a positive trend for the West African country. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February also decreased, going from 23.5% to 23.1%, further solidifying the economy's upward trajectory.
Government Statistician Samuel Kobina Annim attributed the drop in inflation to improved supply chains, a decrease in fuel prices, and a relatively stable exchange rate. These factors, according to Annim, contributed to the decrease in prices, which rose by 1.3%.
Experts, such as Wilson Elorm Zilevu, an economist with Accra-based Databank Group, believe that the inflation dip could allow the country's central bank to cut interest rates for the first time since September. Zilevu noted that the country's currency, the cedi, has been performing steadily, and that the fall in inflation may encourage the central bank's monetary policy council to lower its benchmark rate, currently at 27%, by the end of this month.
Zilevu also stated that the policy rate is "already hawkish above inflation," suggesting that a rate cut could be imminent. This move would be a welcome respite for businesses and individuals in Ghana, who have been grappling with high interest rates.
Recently, Ghana decided to retain its interest rate, as it attempts to mitigate inflationary pressures. This move was made in expectation of lower pricing pressures as the country's new leadership tightens budgetary policy. The drop in inflation rates is seen as a positive sign that these efforts are bearing fruit.
The news is a welcome respite for Ghana's economy, which had been struggling in recent months. As the country continues to navigate its economic challenges, this drop in inflation rates is a positive sign that the economy is on the path to recovery.
With the central bank's monetary policy council set to meet by the end of the month, all eyes will be on Ghana's interest rates. Will the country's central bank take advantage of the drop in inflation rates and cut interest rates, or will it maintain its current stance? Only time will tell, but for now, Ghana's economy is trending in the right direction.
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