Baidu's Supercheap Robotaxis Raise Stakes for US Competitors

Jordan Vega

Jordan Vega

November 22, 2024 · 3 min read
Baidu's Supercheap Robotaxis Raise Stakes for US Competitors

Baidu's robotaxi division, Apollo Go, has just rolled out its latest driverless vehicle across multiple cities in China, and the implications are sending ripples across the autonomous transportation landscape. The sixth-generation RT6, a purpose-built Level 4 autonomous vehicle, boasts an unprecedented price tag of under $30,000 per unit, thanks to its innovative battery-swapping solution.

This development should be causing concern for US competitors, particularly Alphabet's Waymo, which has been operating in multiple cities in the US. While Waymo has made significant strides in autonomous technology, Baidu's cost-effectiveness is a game-changer in the still-unproven economics of the robotaxi business. By bringing down the upfront cost of each vehicle, Baidu is poised to improve its unit economics, where each vehicle generates more revenue than it costs.

The RT6's affordability is not the only impressive aspect of Apollo Go's achievement. The company has reported a year-over-year growth of 20% in Q3 2024, with a cumulative 8 million public rides in October. Base fares for Apollo Go's services start as low as 4 yuan (around 55 cents), significantly undercutting traditional taxi fares. This aggressive pricing strategy is likely to put pressure on US robotaxi operators to revisit their own cost structures.

In contrast, Waymo's latest vehicle, Geely's Zeekr, is expected to be impacted by tariffs on imports from China, which could further inflate its costs. A recent analysis by JMP estimated that Waymo's capital expenditures for each vehicle and sensor suite could be north of $150,000 per unit. Meanwhile, Alphabet's "Other Bets" unit, which includes Waymo, reported a revenue increase to $388 million in Q3 2024, but losses remained flat at $1.12 billion.

The significance of Baidu's achievement extends beyond the Chinese market. As robotaxi companies look to expand to new cities, cost-effectiveness will become increasingly crucial. The industry's ability to demonstrate profitability will be key to its long-term viability. While the technology itself is rapidly maturing, the economics of the business remain a major hurdle. Baidu's RT6 is a significant step forward in addressing this challenge, and US competitors would do well to take note.

In the autonomous transportation landscape, Baidu's Apollo Go is raising the stakes for US competitors like Waymo. As the industry continues to evolve, it will be fascinating to see how these players respond to the challenge posed by Baidu's supercheap robotaxis.

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